MX23RW : Friday, May 24 03:41:40| >> :60:18:18:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Ameliano
1 - 0
Rayo Zuliano

Valdez (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Velez (47')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Rayo Zuliano.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ameliano 2-1 Danubio
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 1-5 Athletico PR
Wednesday, May 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Ameliano win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rayo Zuliano had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Ameliano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Zuliano win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sportivo Ameliano in this match.

Result
Sportivo AmelianoDrawRayo Zuliano
49.3% (0.278 0.28) 26.03% (-0.035 -0.04) 24.66% (-0.245 -0.25)
Both teams to score 48.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.052 -0.05)54.97% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.044 -0.04)76.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.099999999999994 0.1)22.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.15199999999999 0.15)55.81% (-0.156 -0.16)
Rayo Zuliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (-0.246 -0.25)37.6% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (-0.24 -0.24)74.38% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Ameliano 49.3%
    Rayo Zuliano 24.66%
    Draw 26.03%
Sportivo AmelianoDrawRayo Zuliano
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 24.66%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Rayo Zuliano
0-4
Ameliano

Penilla (40'), Melean (45+1'), Paz (90+7')
Valdez (35', 56'), Contrera (45+2' pen.), Martinich (60')
Contrera (20'), Martinez (88')
rhs 2.0
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