Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Cristian Pavon 2' goal
  • Franco Cristaldo 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 71' yellowcard
  • Jhonata Robert 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitor de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis 37'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 55'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 74'
  • goal Estevao Willian 77'

Gremio vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jun 30, 2024 8.00pm
Gremio 1 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Jul 2, 2024 12.00am
Palmeiras 2 - 0 Corinthians
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Estevao Willian

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Gremio 30.66% (-0.42)
Draw 27.39% (-0.38)
Palmeiras 41.95% (+0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.53% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.16% (+1.26)
Under 2.5 56.84% (-1.27)
Over 3.5 22.23% (+1.01)
Under 3.5 77.76% (-1.01)
Over 4.5 9.65% (+0.60)
Under 4.5 90.35% (-0.60)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 33.76% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 29.58% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.39)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 73.27% (+1.03)
Under 0.5 26.73% (-1.03)
Over 1.5 38% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 62% (-1.34)

Score analysis

Gremio 30.66%
Draw 27.38%
Palmeiras 41.94%
Gremio
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.38)
2-1 @ 7.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.45)
2-2 @ 4.63% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.38%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 7.86% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 3.45% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.12)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.14% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.94%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Sep 22, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Joao Pedro 9' goal
  • Joao Pedro 9' goal
  • Rodrigo Ely 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Ely 34' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 59' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 59' yellowcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 86' redcard
  • Mathias Villasanti 86' redcard
  • Gabriel Grando 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Grando 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mayke 63'
  • yellowcard Mayke 63'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Raphael Veiga 23' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 24' goal
  • Raphael Veiga 56' goal
  • Mayke 68' goal
  • Luan Garcia 73' goal
  • goal Bitello 45'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 31, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Diego Souza 11' goal
  • Walter Kannemann 27' yellowcard
  • Jean Pyerre 39' yellowcard
  • Vagner Mancini 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Thiago 64' yellowcard
  • Alisson 69' yellowcard
  • goal Raphael Veiga 45'+1'
  • goal Raphael Veiga 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Felipe Melo 62'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 90'+1'
  • goal Breno Lopes 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Jul 7, 2021 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Raphael Veiga 1' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 9' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Menino 17' goal
  • Danilo 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiago Nunes 32'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 34'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 38'
Copa do Brasil
Mar 7, 2021 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Ze Rafael 16' yellowcard
  • Wesley 53' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 84' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Esteves 86' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Doin 27'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 30'
Copa do Brasil
Mar 1, 2021 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Diogo Barbosa 54' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 87' yellowcard
  • Vanderson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 32'
  • redcard Luan Garcia 65'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 78'
  • yellowcard Willian 85'