Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Palmeiras
30.66% ( -0.42)	27.39% ( -0.38)	41.95% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.16% (

1.26)

56.84% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.23% (

77.76% (

-1)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

0.36)

33.76% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

0.39)

70.42% (

-0.39)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

1.02)

26.73% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

1.33)

62% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Gremio 30.66%

Palmeiras 41.94%

Draw 27.38%

Gremio	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.66%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.94%