Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Gremio
Jun 30, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
Fluminense
  • Pedro Geromel 36' yellowcard
  • Douglas Moreira 55' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Nunes 61' goal
  • yellowcard German Cano 39'
  • yellowcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 52'
  • redcard Jan Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez 87'

Gremio vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2024 12.00am
Atletico GO 1 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jun 27, 2024 11.00pm
Fluminense 0 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jhon Arias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result

Gremio 49.01% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 26.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Fluminense 24.6% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 77.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 76.94% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 23.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 43.11% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 56.89% ▲ (+0.21)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 61.56% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 38.44% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 24.81% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 75.19% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Gremio 49%
Draw 26.4%
Fluminense 24.6%
Gremio
1-0 @ 13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.4%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.6%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Fluminense
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio
  • Jhon Arias 34' goal
  • Andre 36' yellowcard
  • Nino 45'+5' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 72' yellowcard
  • John Kennedy 81' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 32'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 36'
  • goal Luis Suarez 43'
  • goal Everton Galdino 45'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 45'+4'
  • goal Luis Suarez 64'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Gremio
Aug 13, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena do Gremio
Fluminense
  • Bitello 25' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 42' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 45'+1' goal
  • Fabio Da Silva 46' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 19'
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 27'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 30'
  • yellowcard F. Diniz 32'
  • yellowcard Danielzinho 57'
  • yellowcard Andre 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Gremio
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fluminense
  • Diego Souza 62' goal
  • Lucas Silva 75' yellowcard
  • Douglas Costa 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nino 45'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Fluminense
Jul 18, 2021 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Gremio
  • Lucca 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Henrique 42'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 46'
  • goal Cesar Pinares 90'
  • yellowcard Jean Pyerre 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Fluminense
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Gremio
  • goal Pepe 28'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Gremio
Aug 9, 2020 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Fluminense
  • Diego Souza 45' goal
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 69' yellowcard
  • Bruno Cortez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuri 39'
  • yellowcard Igor Juliao 43'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 73'

Form Data

Atletico GO 1 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 0 - 1 Internacional
Fortaleza 1 - 0 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 2 Botafogo
Flamengo 2 - 1 Gremio
Gremio 1 - 1 Estudiantes
Fluminense 0 - 1 Vitoria
Fluminense 0 - 1 Flamengo
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 1 - 2 Atletico GO
Botafogo 1 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 1 - 1 Juventude