Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Internacional in this match.