Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 22, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Internacional (Brasil)

Gremio
0 - 1
Internacional


Geromel (27'), Bustos (61'), Moreira (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitao (64' og.)
Fernando (41'), Bustos (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Internacional

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Internacional in this match.

Result
GremioDrawInternacional
35.6% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)27.7% (0.065999999999999 0.07)36.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (-0.244 -0.24)57.12% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.194 -0.19)77.99% (0.196 0.2)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)30.55% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.207 -0.21)66.77% (0.209 0.21)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)29.87% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.13 -0.13)65.96% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 35.6%
    Internacional 36.69%
    Draw 27.7%
GremioDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 11.02% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.69%

How you voted: Gremio vs Internacional

Gremio
30.8%
Draw
34.6%
Internacional
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Internacional
3-2
Gremio
Valencia (6'), Wanderson (49'), Patrick (70')
Cardoso (14'), Mercado (39'), Rene (66'), Gomes (82'), Valencia (90+1'), Hernandez (90+3')
Pedro (67'), Suarez (74')
Kannemann (28'), Ferreira (52'), Villasanti (63'), Geromel (90+4')
May 21, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Gremio
3-1
Internacional
Suarez (7'), Villasanti (31'), Bitello (65')
Kannemann (27')
Kannemann (52')
Cardoso (87')
Campanharo (69')
Nov 6, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 30
Internacional
1-0
Gremio
Taison (40')
Saravia (24'), Moises (77')

Villasanti (22'), Geromel (29'), Thiago (75')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Gremio
0-0
Internacional
Bobsin (44')
Mendez (38'), Dourado (41')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Internacional
2-1
Gremio
Hernandez (90+1'), Edenilson (90+8' pen.)
Moises (70'), Rodinei (90+1')
Pyerre (77')
Ferraz (90+4'), Souza (90+7')