Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio IV Centenario
Internacional (Brasil)

Real Tomayapo
0 - 2
Internacional


Jesus Noble (41'), Jesus Noble (41'), Jose Orellana Chavarria (51'), Jose Orellana Chavarria (51')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gomes (31', 31'), Alario (90', 90')
Wesley (90+6'), Wesley (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Real Tomayapo and Internacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Tomayapo

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Last Game: Delfin 4-3 Real Tomayapo
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Internacional

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Internacional
Saturday, June 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawInternacional
18.29% (-0.727 -0.73)25.54% (-0.343 -0.34)56.16% (1.068 1.07)
Both teams to score 41.95% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (0.315 0.31)59.32% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.241 0.24)79.72% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.25% (-0.679 -0.68)46.75% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (-0.521 -0.52)82.3% (0.518 0.52)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (0.569 0.57)21.22% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (0.877 0.88)54.11% (-0.878 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 18.3%
    Internacional 56.15%
    Draw 25.54%
Real TomayapoDrawInternacional
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.3%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 15.37% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 11.92% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.16% (0.241 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.133 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 56.15%

How you voted: Real Tomayapo vs Internacional

Real Tomayapo
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Internacional
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Internacional
0-0
Real Tomayapo
Bustos (82'), Mercado (88')
Hernandez (82')