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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo
0 - 0
Wilstermann


Villamil (40')
FT

Chumacero (43')
Real Tomayapo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Real Tomayapo and Jorge Wilstermann.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Wilstermann 0-2 Everton
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Tomayapo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawJorge Wilstermann
53.69% (0.52200000000001 0.52) 25.51% (-0.326 -0.33) 20.8% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 45.59% (0.612 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (0.944 0.94)56.48% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (0.756 0.76)77.48% (-0.758 -0.76)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.60300000000001 0.6)21.08% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.932 0.93)53.9% (-0.935 -0.94)
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (0.334 0.33)42.23% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (0.287 0.29)78.64% (-0.289 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 53.68%
    Jorge Wilstermann 20.8%
    Draw 25.5%
Real TomayapoDrawJorge Wilstermann
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.133 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.8%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
9Fulham00000000
10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
11Leicester CityLeicester00000000
12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Southampton00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000


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