Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo
0 - 0
Wilstermann


Villamil (40')
FT

Chumacero (43')
Real Tomayapo win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Real Tomayapo and Jorge Wilstermann.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Tomayapo

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Jorge Wilstermann

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Last Game: Wilstermann 0-2 Everton
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Tomayapo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Jorge Wilstermann win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawJorge Wilstermann
53.69% (0.52200000000001 0.52)25.51% (-0.326 -0.33)20.8% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 45.59% (0.612 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (0.944 0.94)56.48% (-0.947 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (0.756 0.76)77.48% (-0.758 -0.76)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.60300000000001 0.6)21.08% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (0.932 0.93)53.9% (-0.935 -0.94)
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.77% (0.334 0.33)42.23% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (0.287 0.29)78.64% (-0.289 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 53.68%
    Jorge Wilstermann 20.8%
    Draw 25.5%
Real TomayapoDrawJorge Wilstermann
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.133 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.68%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.329 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.8%