Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.