Copa Sudamericana
May 15, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • Juan Martin Velazquez 14' goal
  • Pablo Chavarria 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Rioja 55'

Belgrano vs Real Tomayapo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 9, 2024 11.00pm
Belgrano 1 - 1 Delfin

Real Tomayapo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
Real Tomayapo 0 - 2 Belgrano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result

Belgrano 68.05% (+0.22)
Draw 19.21% (-0.05)
Real Tomayapo 12.74% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.91% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.46% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 44.54% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 33.1% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 66.9% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 16.87% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 83.14% (+0.17)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 87.94% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.06% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 62.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 37.56% (+0.02)

Real Tomayapo Goals

Over 0.5 54.48% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 45.52% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 18.66% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 81.34% (+0.34)

Score analysis

Belgrano 68.05%
Draw 19.21%
Real Tomayapo 12.74%
Belgrano
2-0 @ 12.28% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 11.61% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.66% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.58% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.94% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 68.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 19.21%
Real Tomayapo
0-1 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 12.74%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 25, 2024 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio IV Centenario
  • Pedro Galindo 25' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Losada 25' yellowcard
  • Hallysson Fernandes Padilha 80' yellowcard
  • Hallysson Padilha 80' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Lencioni 17'
  • goal Facundo Lencioni 17'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Losada 25'
  • yellowcard Pedro Galindo 25'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz Real 26'
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz Real 26'
  • redcard Nicolas Meriano 28'
  • redcard Nicolas Meriano 28'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Heredia 74'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Heredia 74'
  • goal Matias Marin 83'
  • goal Matias Marin 83'