Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo
0 - 2
Belgrano


Galindo (25'), Losada (25'), Fernandes Padilha (80'), Padilha (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lencioni (17', 17'), Marin (83', 83')
Losada (25'), Galindo (25'), Cruz Real (26'), Cruz Real (26'), Heredia (74'), Heredia (74')
Meriano (28'), Meriano (28')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Real Tomayapo and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Tomayapo

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Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Real Tomayapo
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Belgrano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Belgrano 0-4 Racing
Tuesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 35.95%. A win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawBelgrano
35.5% (-0.064 -0.06)28.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)35.95% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)80.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)32.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)68.36% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 35.5%
    Belgrano 35.94%
    Draw 28.55%
Real TomayapoDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.94%