Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio IV Centenario

Real Tomayapo
0 - 2
Delfin


Alcaraz (57'), Alcaraz (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gariglio (24', 74', 74'), Enrique Angulo (52' pen., 52' pen.)
Cuero (90+5'), Cuero (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Real Tomayapo and Delfin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Tomayapo

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Last Game: Real Tomayapo 0-0 Wilstermann (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Delfin

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Last Game: Cuenca 2-5 Delfin
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Tomayapo win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Tomayapo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Real TomayapoDrawDelfin
51.05% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)25.46% (0.050999999999998 0.05)23.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.9% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2% (-0.168 -0.17)53.79% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73% (-0.142 -0.14)75.26% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Real Tomayapo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.101 -0.1)21.09% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (-0.157 -0.16)53.92% (0.155 0.16)
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)38.03% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.2% (-0.067 -0.07)74.8% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Tomayapo 51.05%
    Delfin 23.48%
    Draw 25.46%
Real TomayapoDrawDelfin
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.76% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.48%