Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro

Cuenca
2 - 5
Delfin

Oscar Becerra (69', 90+3'), Becerra (69', 90+3')
Romero (44'), Romero (44'), Fratta (81'), Fratta (81')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Enrique Angulo (9', 9', 59', 59'), Gariglio (30', 30'), Oyola (41', 41'), Fratta (74' og., 74' og.)
Manuel Elordi (39'), Elordi (39'), Cuero (45+3'), Cuero (45+3'), Stalin Reyes Alcivar (48'), Reyes (48'), Josue Sambonino Teran (82'), Sambonino (82')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Cuenca and Delfin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Cuenca

Last Game: Emelec 2-1 Cuenca
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana

Delfin

Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Delfin
Wednesday, March 8 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cuenca win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cuenca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Delfin win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Cuenca	Draw	Delfin
46.23% ( 0.2)	25.78% ( -0.03)	27.99% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.91% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

0.03)

51.79% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

0.03)

73.56% (

-0.03)

Deportivo Cuenca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.1)

22.38% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

0.16)

55.88% (

-0.16)

Delfin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

-0.12)

33.12% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

-0.13)

69.72% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Cuenca 46.23%

Delfin 27.99%

Draw 25.78%

Deportivo Cuenca	Draw	Delfin
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 27.99%