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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Nov 25, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Jocay
Palmeiras

Delfin
1 - 3
Palmeiras

Ramires (69' og.)
Nazareno (34'), Gonzalez (57'), Garces (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Menino (18'), Rony (36' pen.), Rafael (60')
de Paula (45'), Ramires (58')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Delfin and Palmeiras.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Delfin win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
DelfinDrawPalmeiras
33.44%26.96%39.6%
Both teams to score 50.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5%54.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.85%
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37%30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13%66.87%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.24%
Score Analysis
    Delfin 33.44%
    Palmeiras 39.6%
    Draw 26.96%
DelfinDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.6%

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