Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.