Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.