Cuiaba
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Goias

Cuiaba
1 - 0
Goias

Pitta (45+2'), Alves (80')
Pasinato (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique Silva Ribeiro (65')
Goias win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Cuiaba and Goias, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goias

All competitions
Last Game: Goias 1-0 America Mineiro
Wednesday, December 6 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawGoias
49.4% (-0.221 -0.22)26.26% (0.046000000000003 0.05)24.34% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 47.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)56.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)77.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)22.74% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.174 -0.17)56.42% (0.171 0.17)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.131 0.13)38.49% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (0.126 0.13)75.24% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 49.39%
    Goias 24.34%
    Draw 26.25%
CuiabaDrawGoias
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.34%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Goias

Cuiaba
18.2%
Draw
45.5%
Goias
36.4%
11
Head to Head
May 3, 2024
1.30am
Third Round
Goias  
vs.
  Cuiaba
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 28
Cuiaba
1-1
Goias
Clayson (46')
Rikelme (28')
Guilherme (45+8' pen.)
Morelli (35'), Guzzo (72'), Tadeu (90+1')
Jun 4, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
Goias
0-1
Cuiaba

Guilherme (82'), Maguinho (90+4')
Deyverson (54')
Raniele (18'), Alexandre (46'), Marllon (67')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 33
Cuiaba
1-2
Goias
Deyverson (65')
Raul (8'), Vinicius (20')
Jun 26, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 14
Goias
1-0
Cuiaba
Raul (80')
Reynaldo (16'), Sales (20'), da Cruz Souto (74')

Empereur (39'), Jenison (69'), Lucas (73'), Valdivia (90+6')
Empereur (83')
> Preview