Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Cuiaba

Deportivo Garcilaso
1 - 1
Cuiaba

Beltran (76', 76')
Cornejo (54'), Cornejo (54'), Caicedo (71'), Caicedo (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pitta (73', 73')
Knesowitsch (61'), Gabriel (61'), Miranda Madruga Gomes (87'), Madruga (87')
Clayson (89'), Clayson (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Garcilaso

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lanus 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cuiaba

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawCuiaba
40.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.73% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (0.019000000000002 0.02)74.68% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.025999999999996 0.03)30.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)66.54% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Garcilaso 40.61%
    Cuiaba 32.81%
    Draw 26.58%
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.81%