Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Deportivo Garcilaso
0 - 0
ADT


Lojas (38'), Lojas (38'), Caicedo (85'), Caicedo (85')
FT

Narvaez (42'), Narvaez (42'), Rambal (49'), Rambal (49'), Rum Choi Guevara (90'), Jiampiere Palomino Poma (90+1'), Choi (90'), Palomino (90+1')
Deportivo Garcilaso win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Deportivo Garcilaso and ADT.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Garcilaso

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ADT

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Garcilaso win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for ADT had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Garcilaso win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an ADT win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawADT
60.71% (0.107 0.11)21.05% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)18.23% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)41.83% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)64.23% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)13.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (0.043999999999997 0.04)40.2% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
ADT Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (-0.109 -0.11)36.52% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (-0.112 -0.11)73.31% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Garcilaso 60.71%
    ADT 18.23%
    Draw 21.05%
Deportivo GarcilasoDrawADT
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 60.71%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.23%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Deportivo Garcilaso