Cruzeiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Fluminense

Cruzeiro
2 - 0
Fluminense

William (41' pen., 41' pen., 90+3', 90+3')
Pereira (26'), Pereira (26'), Machado (45+5'), Machado (45+5'), Robert (49'), Robert (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barbosa (34'), Barbosa (34'), Thiago (80'), Diniz (80'), Thiago (80'), Diniz (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-2 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 16 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawFluminense
56.87% (1.365 1.37)24.9% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)18.23% (-1.296 -1.3)
Both teams to score 43.46% (-1.812 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-1.307 -1.31)57.24% (1.312 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-1.051 -1.05)78.09% (1.056 1.06)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.1% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.039999999999999 0.04)52.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4% (-2.284 -2.28)45.6% (2.289 2.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (-1.853 -1.85)81.41% (1.858 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 56.86%
    Fluminense 18.23%
    Draw 24.89%
CruzeiroDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 14.7% (0.73 0.73)
2-0 @ 11.79% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.322 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 56.86%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 7.2% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.358 -0.36)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Fluminense

Cruzeiro
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Fluminense
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Fluminense
1-0
Cruzeiro
Fernandez (67')
Nino (34'), Melo (39'), Keno (82'), Andre (85'), Fabio (88'), Marcelo (90')

Wesley (30')
May 11, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 5
Cruzeiro
0-2
Fluminense
Ganso (43'), Cano (54')
Jul 13, 2022 1am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Cruzeiro
0-3
Fluminense

Adriano (41')
Arias (70'), Cano (85'), Nathan (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 23, 2022 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Fluminense
2-1
Cruzeiro
Manoel (45+1'), Cano (57')
Arias (15'), Xavier (72'), Andre (90+3')
Oliveira (45+7')
Ivaldo (30'), Edu (45+2'), Pedrao (75'), Oliveira (86')
Jesus (42')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Cruzeiro
0-0
Fluminense
Fred (45'), Robinho (55'), Egidio (80'), Mendes (90')
Yuri (45'), Ganso (79'), Fagundes (96')