Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Fluminense

Corinthians
3 - 0
Fluminense

Gassova (40', 45+2'), Caca (47')
Marquinhos (36'), Garro (39'), Silva (42'), Bidon (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Guga (30'), Gassova (36')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFluminense
47.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.26% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)26.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.82% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.0040000000000049 0)56.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.08% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 47.65%
    Fluminense 26.07%
    Draw 26.25%
CorinthiansDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.01%
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 27
Fluminense
3-3
Corinthians
Lima (22', 56'), Arias (84')
Marcelo (29'), Melo (33'), Cano (48'), Thiago (64'), Lima (71'), Diniz (90+1')
Thiago (65'), Melo (71')
Alberto (10', 27'), Santos (32' pen.)
Maycon (19'), Pedrinho (36'), Alberto (41')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Corinthians
2-0
Fluminense
Guedes (59', 90+2')
Gil (14'), Bidu (52'), Vera (82'), Ramos (90+5')

Melo (42'), Xavier (52')
Oct 27, 2022 1.45am
Gameweek 34
Corinthians
0-2
Fluminense
Sep 16, 2022 12am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Corinthians
3-0
Fluminense
Augusto (34'), Giuliano (90+1'), Melo (90+4' og.)
> Preview
Aug 24, 2022 11.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fluminense
2-2
Corinthians
Ganso (4' pen.), Arias (46')
Andre (90+4')
Augusto (23'), Guedes (90')
Fagner (2'), Santos (68'), Guedes (90+1')