Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Porteno	Draw	Fluminense
41.28% ( 0.39)	25.83% ( -0.1)	32.89% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 54.19% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05% (

0.35)

49.95% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

0.31)

71.93% (

-0.32)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

0.35)

23.96% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

0.51)

58.19% (

-0.51)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

-0.01)

28.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.44% (

-0.01)

64.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cerro Porteno 41.28%

Fluminense 32.89%

Draw 25.82%

Cerro Porteno	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.28%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.89%