Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.