Copa Libertadores
-
Wilder Viera
16'
-
Jorge Morel
36'
-
Fabrizio Peralta
41'
-
Eduardo Brock
44'
-
Federico Carrizo
90'+6'
-
Jesus Castillo
42'
-
Catriel Cabellos
54'
-
Carlos Zambrano
58'
-
Sebastian Rodriguez
90'
Cerro Porteno vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.
Result
Cerro Porteno
50.25%
▼
(-4.06)
Draw
25.78%
▲
(+1.02)
Alianza Lima
23.97%
▲
(+3.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.49%
▲
(+0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.41%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 2.5
54.59%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 3.5
24.07%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 3.5
75.93%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 4.5
10.77%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 4.5
89.23%
▲
(+0.50)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5
78.24%
▼
(-2.06)
Under 0.5
21.76%
▲
(+2.06)
Over 1.5
45.05%
▼
(-3.24)
Under 1.5
54.95%
▲
(+3.24)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
61.97%
▲
(+2.44)
Under 0.5
38.03%
▼
(-2.44)
Over 1.5
25.21%
▲
(+2.28)
Under 1.5
74.79%
▼
(-2.29)
Score analysis
Cerro Porteno
50.25%
Draw
25.78%
Alianza Lima
23.97%
Cerro Porteno
1-0
@
12.62%
▼
(-0.34)
2-0 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.89)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.81)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.45)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.25%
2-0 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.89)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.81)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.43)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.45)
4-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1
@
12.2%
▲
(+0.49)
0-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.78%
0-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.78%
Alianza Lima
0-1
@
8%
▲
(+0.79)
1-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.60)
0-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.31)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-97.16)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.60)
0-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.61)
1-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.31)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-97.16)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.97%