Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 1
Cerro Porteno

Marcelo (14'), Ganso (74')
Martinelli (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Viera (19')
Baez (34'), De Jesus (90'), Piris (90+3')
Baez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Fluminense
Tuesday, May 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
FluminenseDrawCerro Porteno
61.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)20.78%18.05%
Both teams to score 55.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)40.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)63.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)12.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 61.17%
    Cerro Porteno 18.05%
    Draw 20.78%
FluminenseDrawCerro Porteno
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.8%
3-0 @ 6.68%
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 61.17%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-1 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.72%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Cerro Porteno

Fluminense
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
Cerro Porteno
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-0
Fluminense
Churin (51'), Carrizo (90+3'), Baez (90+6')
Lima (90'), Manoel (90+6')
Aug 3, 2021 11.15pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Fluminense
1-0
Cerro Porteno
Fred (24' pen.)
Henrique (26'), Xavier (63'), Teixeira (68'), Ganso (89')

Espinola (17'), Aquino (26'), Patino (56'), Villasanti (77'), Martinez (88')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2021 11.15pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
0-2
Fluminense

Duarte (27')
Nene (49'), Egidio (61')
> Preview