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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima
vs.
Cerro Porteno

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-0 Fluminense
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerro Porteno has a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it is 0-1 (8.18%).

Result
Alianza LimaDrawCerro Porteno
53.9%26.54% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 19.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.33% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.83% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)61.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.87% (-0.02 -0.02)81.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)22.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.99% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Lima 53.89%
    Cerro Porteno 19.56%
    Draw 26.53%
Alianza LimaDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 15.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.56%

Who will win Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno?

Alianza Lima
Draw
Cerro Porteno
Alianza Lima
0.0%
Draw
100%
Cerro Porteno
0.0%
2
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
1-0
Alianza Lima
Carrizo (90+6')
Viera (16'), Morel (36'), Peralta (41'), Brock (44')

Castillo (42'), Cabellos (54'), Zambrano (58'), Rodriguez (90')
rhs 2.0
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