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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
0 - 0
Alianza Lima


Bolados (32'), Bolados (32'), Gil (60'), Gil (60'), Falcon (79'), Falcon (79'), Cepeda (84'), Cepeda (84'), Vidal (90+4'), Vidal (90+4')
FT

Garces (38'), Garces (38'), Ramos (42'), Ramos (42'), Pablo Freytes (63'), Pablo Freytes (63'), Rodriguez (72'), Rodriguez (72')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Alianza Lima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Alianza Lima

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawAlianza Lima
54.18% (0.058 0.06)24.88% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)20.94% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)54.06% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.49% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)52.05% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)40.7% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)77.29% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 54.17%
    Alianza Lima 20.94%
    Draw 24.87%
Colo-ColoDrawAlianza Lima
1-0 @ 13.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.94%

Head to Head
May 6, 2022 3am
Group Stage
Alianza Lima
1-1
Colo-Colo
Aguirre (46')
Ramos (33'), Vilchez (43'), Lavandeira (72'), Cornejo (79'), Barcos (86')
Martin Lucero (22')
Pavez (55'), Opazo (57'), Falcon (61')
Apr 13, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Colo-Colo
2-1
Alianza Lima
Martin Lucero (27'), Pavez (56')
Opazo (52'), Zaldivia (71'), Villanueva (85')
Benitez (69')
Rodriguez (75'), Rojas (82'), Miguez (90+3')