Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.