Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 10, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
0 - 1
Fluminense

Wiemberg (69'), Wiemberg (69'), Paiva (88'), Paiva (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Manoel (74', 74')
Cano (28'), Cano (28'), Melo (45'), Ganso (45+2'), Melo (45'), Ganso (45+2'), Fabio (66'), Fabio (66'), Manoel (79'), Manoel (79'), Terans (90+4'), Terans (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Fluminense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Fluminense
39.49% ( -0.25)	27.73% ( 0.07)	32.78% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

-0.24)

57.54% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

-0.19)

78.33% (

0.19)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.26)

28.42% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.32)

64.18% (

0.32)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

-0)

32.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

-0)

69.16% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 39.48%

Fluminense 32.77%

Draw 27.72%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.77%