Brasileiro
Gameweek
7
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-
Lucas Moura
5'
-
Luis Zubeldia
14'
-
Jonathan Calleri
48'
-
Alan Franco
45'+8'
-
Alisson
80'
-
Alvaro Barreal
13'
-
Marlon
38'
-
Kaiki Bruno
63'
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Sao Paulo
47.43%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
27.41%
▲
(+0.13)
Cruzeiro
25.16%
▲
(+0.37)
Both Teams to Score:
45.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.48%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
59.52%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
20.13%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
79.87%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
8.41%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
91.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
74.82%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
25.18%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
40.1%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 1.5
59.9%
▲
(+0.44)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
60.3%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
39.69%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
23.63%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
76.37%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Sao Paulo
47.42%
Draw
27.41%
Cruzeiro
25.16%
Sao Paulo
1-0
@
13.78%
▼
(-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.42%
2-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.42%
Draw
1-1
@
12.73%
▲
(+0.06)
0-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
Cruzeiro
0-1
@
9.23%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%
1-2 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%