MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 15:52:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Cruzeiro

Moura (5'), Calleri (48')
Zubeldia (14'), Franco (45+8'), Alisson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barreal (13'), Bruno (63')
Marlon (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Talleres
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro

Under new management, both these sides are enjoying an excellent run of form and could end this weekend in the top four. However, Sao Paulo's home record this season is hard to overlook, and while Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last three away games, they were fairly unconvincing when they played Atletico Mineiro, who have been their toughest away opponent so far this term. As a result, while we are expecting a very close contest here, we feel the hosts will be able to edge the result by a slender one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
47.43% (-0.49 -0.49) 27.41% (0.122 0.12) 25.16% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 45.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)59.52% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (-0.132 -0.13)79.87% (0.133 0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)25.18% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.432 -0.43)59.9% (0.433 0.43)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.238 0.24)39.69% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.22 0.22)76.37% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 47.42%
    Cruzeiro 25.16%
    Draw 27.41%
Sao PauloDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Cruzeiro
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Luciano (84')
Beraldo (72')

William (49'), Paixao (56'), Elias (74')
Paixao (56')
Jun 25, 2023 1am
Gameweek 12
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rafinha (3' og.)
Dourado (90+3')

Nestor (74'), Rodriguinho (81'), David (88')
Oct 17, 2019 1am
Gameweek 26
Cruzeiro
1-0
Sao Paulo
Neves (58')
Fred (53'), David (67')

Reinaldo (53'), Alves (94')
Jun 2, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sao Paulo
1-1
Cruzeiro
Pato (15')
Tche (48'), Calazans (81')
Vinicius (94')
Neves (68')
Robinho (45'), Neves (53'), Cabral (65')
Nov 18, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
1-0
Cruzeiro
Souza (31')
Reinaldo (17'), Alves (86')

Robinho (42'), Mendes (63')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!