Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nicolas Chahuan Nazar
Cruzeiro

Union La Calera
0 - 0
Cruzeiro


Ferrario (21'), Aued (64')
FT

Elias (60'), Silva (74'), Silva (80')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union La Calera and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union La Calera

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Last Game: Union La Calera 0-1 U. Catolica
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 21 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 1-0 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawCruzeiro
21.09% (0.061 0.06)25.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.1% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)78.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.64% (0.046000000000006 0.05)42.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.26% (0.039000000000001 0.04)78.74% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)21.63% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.75% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 21.09%
    Cruzeiro 53.09%
    Draw 25.8%
Union La CaleraDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.09%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 14.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.09%