Copa Sudamericana
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-
Lucas Romero
7'
-
Lucas Romero
7'
-
Ze Ivaldo
12'
-
Ze Ivaldo
12'
-
Matheus Pereira
19'
-
Matheus Pereira
19'
-
Marlon
38'
-
Marlon
38'
-
Lucas Romero
89'
-
Lucas Romero
89'
-
Gabriel Veron
90'+5'
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Gabriel Veron
90'+5'
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Ruben Dario Manjarres Jimenez
21'
-
Ruben Manjarres
21'
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Emerson Batalla
53'
-
Emerson Batalla
53'
-
Emerson Batalla
79'
-
Emerson Batalla
79'
-
Jesus Antonio Figueroa Olaya
90'+6'
-
Jesus Figueroa
90'+6'
Cruzeiro vs Alianza Petrolera - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result
Cruzeiro
72.18%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
18.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Alianza Petrolera
9.37%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
39.12%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.93%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
50.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
27.96%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
72.04%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
13.29%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
86.71%
▼
(-0.05)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
87.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
12.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
61.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
38.51%
▲
(+0.04)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5
44.72%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 0.5
55.28%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
11.95%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
88.05%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Cruzeiro
72.17%
Draw
18.45%
Alianza Petrolera
9.37%
Cruzeiro
2-0
@
14.94%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 14.37% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 72.17%
1-0 @ 14.37% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 72.17%
Draw
1-1
@
8.52%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.45%
0-0 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.45%
Alianza Petrolera
0-1
@
4.1%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 9.37%
1-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 9.37%