Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 4, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata

Alianza Petrolera
0 - 1
Union La Calera

Rangel (18'), Rangel (18'), Enrique Saldana Carvajal (29'), Saldana (29'), William Meza Mercado (45'), Meza (45'), Junior Torres Obeso (86'), Torres (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gigliotti (45+3' pen., 45+3' pen.)
Ferrario (21'), Ferrario (21'), Ferreyra (51'), Ferreyra (51'), Ismael Ulloa Nunez (86'), Ulloa (86')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Union La Calera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Petrolera

Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana

Union La Calera

Last Game: Everton 0-1 Union La Calera
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Petrolera win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Alianza Petrolera	Draw	Union La Calera
44.71% ( -0.05)	27.37% ( 0.02)	27.92% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.2% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.14% (

-0.05)

57.87% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.42% (

-0.04)

78.58% (

0.04)

Alianza Petrolera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

-0.05)

25.78% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-0.06)

60.72% (

0.06)

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.58% (

-0.01)

36.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.8% (

-0.01)

73.21% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Alianza Petrolera 44.7%

Union La Calera 27.92%

Draw 27.37%

Alianza Petrolera	Draw	Union La Calera
1-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.7%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.92%