Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Sausalito

Everton
0 - 1
Union La Calera


Campos (63'), Mendez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferreyra (83')
Parnisari (14'), Aued (61'), Ferreyra (74'), Perez (85')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Everton and Union La Calera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

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Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Everton
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
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Union La Calera

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Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawUnion La Calera
44.51% (-0.457 -0.46)25.48% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)30% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 54.09% (0.571 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.602 0.6)49.54% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.539 0.54)71.56% (-0.533 -0.53)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.22% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.064999999999998 0.06)55.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.697 0.7)30.46% (-0.692 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (0.817 0.82)66.68% (-0.812 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Everton 44.51%
    Union La Calera 30%
    Draw 25.48%
EvertonDrawUnion La Calera
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30%