Copa Sudamericana
May 17, 2024 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Matheus Pereira 7' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 7' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luciano Aued 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Luciano Aued 90'+3'

Cruzeiro vs Union La Calera - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 8, 2024 1.30am
Alianza Petrolera 0 - 3 Cruzeiro

Union La Calera

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 10, 2024 3.00am
U. Catolica 4 - 0 Union La Calera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 75.18% (-1.49)
Draw 16.09% (+0.48)
Union La Calera 8.73% (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.02% (+3.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.17% (+1.39)
Under 2.5 41.82% (-1.39)
Over 3.5 35.77% (+1.39)
Under 3.5 64.23% (-1.39)
Over 4.5 18.85% (+1.04)
Under 4.5 81.15% (-1.04)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 90.52% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 9.48% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 68.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.81% (+0.03)

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5 48.63% (+3.35)
Under 0.5 51.37% (-3.35)
Over 1.5 14.41% (+2.13)
Under 1.5 85.59% (-2.13)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 75.17%
Draw 16.09%
Union La Calera 8.73%
Cruzeiro
2-0 @ 13.51% (-0.89)
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.75)
3-0 @ 10.61% (-0.71)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.07% (+0.25)
4-0 @ 6.25% (-0.42)
4-1 @ 4.17% (+0.15)
5-0 @ 2.95% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.36% (+0.30)
5-1 @ 1.96% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.18)
6-0 @ 1.16% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 75.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.64% (+0.28)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 3% (+0.39)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.09%
Union La Calera
0-1 @ 3.24% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 2.55% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-93.12)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.73%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 23, 2024 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Nicolas Chahuan Nazar
  • Enzo Ferrario 21' yellowcard
  • Luciano Aued 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 60'
  • yellowcard Rafael Silva 74'
  • yellowcard Rafael Silva 80'