Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Petrolera
0 - 3
Cruzeiro

Blanco (26'), Blanco (28'), Batalla (44'), Batalla (44'), Orozco (57'), Orozco Fernandez (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (41', 47'), Arthur (49', 49'), Elias (90+3', 96+3')
William (55'), William (55'), Ivaldo (65'), Ivaldo (65')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Cruzeiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Petrolera

Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.01%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Alianza Petrolera	Draw	Cruzeiro
18.14% ( -0.42)	25.65% ( -0)	56.2% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 41.45% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.15% (

-0.48)

59.84% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.88% (

-0.37)

80.12% (

0.36)

Alianza Petrolera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.75% (

-0.8)

47.25% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.32% (

-0.6)

82.67% (

0.6)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

-0.02)

21.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.58% (

-0.03)

54.41% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Alianza Petrolera 18.14%

Cruzeiro 56.2%

Draw 25.64%

Alianza Petrolera	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.14%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 15.59% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.01% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 56.2%