MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 11:26:38| >> :60:700:700:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Petrolera
1 - 3
U. Catolica

Batalla (8')
Meza (22'), Franco (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Franco (56' og.), Cifuente (68'), Diaz (78')
Vallecilla (38'), Loor (45+2'), Grillo (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Alianza Petrolera and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-3 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Union La Calera 0-1 U. Catolica
Thursday, April 11 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Alianza PetroleraDrawUniversidad Catolica
29.48% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.87% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 43.65% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.52% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)55.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)76.53% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)33.84% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.116 -0.12)70.5% (0.117 0.12)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Alianza Petrolera 29.48%
    Universidad Catolica 43.64%
    Draw 26.86%
Alianza PetroleraDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.64%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!