Copa Sudamericana
-
Emerson Batalla
8'
-
Emerson Batalla
8'
-
Ever Meza
22'
-
Ever Meza
22'
-
Pedro Camilo Franco Ulloa
29'
-
Pedro Franco
29'
-
Gustavo Vallecilla
38'
-
Gustavo Vallecilla
38'
-
Layan Loor
45'+2'
-
Layan Loor
45'+2'
-
Fausto Grillo
50'
-
Fausto Grillo
50'
-
Pedro Camilo Franco Ulloa
56'
(OG)
-
Pedro Franco
56'
(OG)
-
Jhon Cifuente
68'
-
Jhon Cifuente
68'
-
Ismael Diaz
78'
-
Ismael Diaz
78'
Alianza Petrolera vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Alianza Petrolera win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
Result
Alianza Petrolera
29.48%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
26.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Universidad Catolica
43.65%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
49.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.68%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
55.31%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
23.47%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
76.53%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
10.4%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
89.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5
66.16%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
33.84%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
29.49%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
70.5%
▲
(+0.12)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5
74.84%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.15%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
40.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Alianza Petrolera
29.48%
Draw
26.86%
Universidad Catolica
43.64%
Alianza Petrolera
1-0
@
9.22%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.48%
2-1 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1
@
12.72%
0-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.86%
0-0 @ 8.51% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.86%
Universidad Catolica
0-1
@
11.74%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.64%
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.64%