Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Bellavista de Ambato

Tecnico Universitario
0 - 3
U. Catolica


Maciel (59'), Maciel (59'), Carcelen (80'), Carcelen (80')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Diaz (3', 3', 47', 47'), Jairo Cifuente Vergara (11'), Cifuente (11')
Manuel Loor Requelme (45+6'), Loor (45+6'), Jairo Cifuente Vergara (56'), Cifuente (56'), Grillo (60'), Grillo (60'), Minda (78'), Minda (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Tecnico Universitario and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tecnico Universitario

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Universidad Catolica

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Last Game: Millonarios 2-1 U. Catolica
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tecnico Universitario win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tecnico Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Tecnico UniversitarioDrawUniversidad Catolica
38.48% (-0.123 -0.12)27.35% (0.173 0.17)34.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12% (-0.694 -0.69)55.88% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (-0.567 -0.57)76.99% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Tecnico Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.2% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.511 -0.51)63.9% (0.508 0.51)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)30.85% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (-0.454 -0.45)67.12% (0.449 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Tecnico Universitario 38.48%
    Universidad Catolica 34.17%
    Draw 27.34%
Tecnico UniversitarioDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.229 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.17%