Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Talleres

Moura (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.), Luciano (90', 90')
Welington (4'), Welington (4'), Calleri (64'), Calleri (64'), Vinicius (90+2'), Vinicius (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barticciotto (13'), Barticciotto (13'), Suarez (45+7'), Suarez (45+7'), Portilla (56'), Portilla (56'), Carlos Portillo (90+2'), Carlos Portillo (90+2')
Navarro (90+3'), Navarro (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Talleres, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Aguia de Maraba
Friday, May 24 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Talleres

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Talleres
Sunday, May 26 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Talleres
54.7% ( 1.21)	24.85% ( -0.23)	20.44% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 46.91% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.52% (

-0.18)

54.47% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

-0.15)

75.83% (

0.15)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

0.42)

19.87% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02% (

0.67)

51.98% (

-0.67)

Talleres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.54% (

-1.13)

41.46% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.04% (

-1.01)

77.96% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 54.7%

Talleres 20.44%

Draw 24.85%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Talleres
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.7%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.44%