Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 9, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Municipal de Calama

Cobresal
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Coelho (23', 23')
Pacheco (72'), Pacheco (72'), Franco Lobos Asman (88'), Lobos (88')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Luciano (38', 38'), Nestor (60', 60'), Calleri (78', 78')
Zubeldia (0'), Zubeldia (4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cobresal and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cobresal

Last Game: Cobresal 0-2 Talleres
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Vitoria 1-3 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Cobresal win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Cobresal	Draw	Sao Paulo
18.92% ( -0.03)	22.24% ( 0.1)	58.84% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.01% (

-0.48)

45.98% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

-0.46)

68.29% (

0.46)

Cobresal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.8% (

-0.31)

38.2% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.04% (

-0.3)

74.96% (

0.3)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.71% (

-0.19)

15.29% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56% (

-0.35)

44% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Cobresal 18.92%

Sao Paulo 58.82%

Draw 22.23%

Cobresal	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.92%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 58.82%