Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 0
U. Catolica

Silva (80', 80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fajardo (39'), Fajardo (39'), Cesar Fortunato Celico (40'), Cesar Fortunato Celico (40')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Union La Calera
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Alianza Petrolera
Friday, May 17 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 19.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawUniversidad Catolica
59.34% (-0.384 -0.38)21.57% (0.107 0.11)19.09% (0.279 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)14.07% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (-0.261 -0.26)41.66% (0.261 0.26)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (0.277 0.28)36.18% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (0.279 0.28)72.96% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 59.34%
    Universidad Catolica 19.09%
    Draw 21.56%
CruzeiroDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.34%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.09%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 1am
Group Stage
U. Catolica
0-0
Cruzeiro
Martinez (23')
Ivaldo (80')