Copa Sudamericana
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-
Rafael Silva
80'
-
Rafael Silva
80'
-
Jose Fajardo
39'
-
Jose Fajardo
39'
-
Jorge Cesar Fortunato Celico
40'
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Jorge Cesar Fortunato Celico
40'
Cruzeiro vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruzeiro in this match.
Result
Cruzeiro
59.34%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
21.57%
▲
(+0.11)
Universidad Catolica
19.09%
▲
(+0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
54.84%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.18%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
42.82%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
34.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
65.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
18.1%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
81.9%
▲
(+0.04)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5
85.93%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
14.07%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
58.34%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
41.66%
▲
(+0.27)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5
63.82%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 0.5
36.18%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
27.04%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
72.96%
▼
(-0.28)
Score analysis
Cruzeiro
59.34%
Draw
21.56%
Universidad Catolica
19.09%
Cruzeiro
1-0
@
9.98%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.34%
2-1 @ 9.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.14%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.56%
Universidad Catolica
0-1
@
5.18%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.09%
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.09%
Head to Head
Copa Sudamericana
-
Facundo Martinez
23'
-
Facundo Martinez
23'
-
Ze Ivaldo
80'
-
Ze Ivaldo
80'