Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 22, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 0
Sampaio Correa

FT(HT: 1-1)

(14')
Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni (37'), da Silva Ibiapina (39'), Cortez (52'), Jospeh Tochukwu Onwudiwe (64'), Rafael (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Fluminense and Sampaio Correa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, May 16 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Sampaio Correa

Last Game: Aguia Negra 2-1 Sampaio Correa
Thursday, February 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sampaio Correa had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Sampaio Correa win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Sampaio Correa
68.11% ( -0)	19.24% ( -0.06)	12.65% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.14% (

0.43)

44.86% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.78% (

0.41)

67.22% (

-0.41)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.13)

12.14% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26% (

0.26)

37.73% (

-0.27)

Sampaio Correa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.14% (

0.37)

45.86% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.39% (

0.29)

81.61% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 68.09%

Sampaio Correa 12.65%

Draw 19.24%

Fluminense	Draw	Sampaio Correa
2-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.09%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.24%	0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.65%