Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
0 - 1
Vitoria


Gabriel (31'), Xavier (61'), Alexsander (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Janderson (90')
Carpini (32'), Vinicius (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Vitoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawVitoria
57.7% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.91% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37% (0.040999999999997 0.04)43.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)66.01% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14% (0.032000000000011 0.03)14.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81% (0.061 0.06)43.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)35.5% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.27% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 57.7%
    Vitoria 20.18%
    Draw 22.1%
FluminenseDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.7%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.1%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.18%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Vitoria

Fluminense
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Vitoria
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fluminense
0-0
Vitoria
Ayrton (83')
Bou (54')
May 6, 2018 8pm
Vitoria
1-2
Fluminense
Neilton (21')
Kanu (28'), Rhayner (80')
Dyego (73'), Gilberto (86')
Jadson (32')