Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
22.21% ( -0)	25.13%	52.66% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3% (

-0)

53.7% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.81% (

-0)

75.19% (

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.01)

39.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0)

75.91% (

0.01)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

20.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19% (

52.81% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria 22.21%

Atletico Mineiro 52.65%

Draw 25.13%

Vitoria	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.49% 2-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.21%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.65%