Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jun 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras

Fortaleza
3 - 0
Palmeiras

Martin Lucero (9', 9', 47', 47'), Pacheco (69', 69')
Augusto (12'), Augusto (12'), Britez (67'), Britez (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rony (46'), Rony (46'), Moreno (57'), Moreno (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 23 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
38.74% (-0.064 -0.06)27.94% (0.0019999999999989 0)33.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)58.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (0.004999999999999 0)78.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.19% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)65.13% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.61% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.054000000000002 0.05)69.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 38.74%
    Palmeiras 33.31%
    Draw 27.94%
FortalezaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Palmeiras

Fortaleza
8.7%
Draw
26.1%
Palmeiras
65.2%
23
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 35
Fortaleza
2-2
Palmeiras
Galhardo (20'), Calebe (70')
Pacheco (14'), Marinho (90+7')
Veiga (66'), Rafael (77')
Mayke (74'), Garcia (75'), Ferreira (90+6')
Gomez (59')
Jul 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Palmeiras
3-1
Fortaleza
Rios (8'), Veiga (76'), Lopes (90+6')
Piquerez (79'), Rafael (81'), Weverton (83')
Martin Lucero (45' pen.)
Marcelo (6'), Titi (9'), P. Vojvoda (72'), Sasha (75'), Welison (78'), Britez (82'), Romero (85')
> Preview
May 31, 2023 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Fortaleza
1-0
Palmeiras
Martin Lucero (73')
Galhardo (25')

Ferreira (38'), Rony (38'), Piquerez (57'), Navarro (75'), Weverton (87')
Ferreira (77')
Nov 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Palmeiras
4-0
Fortaleza
Rony (15', 48'), Dudu (32'), Endrick (64')
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 16
Fortaleza
0-0
Palmeiras
Rony (73')
> Preview