Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK

Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Paulinho (58')
Rabello (45'), Fuchs (84'), Helberth Pereira Junior (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopes (25')
Pochettino (54'), Martinez (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Vitoria 4-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
58.63% ( -0.16)	22.44% ( 0.11)	18.93% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14% (

-0.39)

46.85% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

-0.37)

69.11% (

0.36)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.35% (

-0.19)

15.65% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.32% (

-0.35)

44.67% (

0.34)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

-0.17)

38.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

-0.16)

75.44% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 58.62%

Fortaleza 18.93%

Draw 22.44%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.93%