Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
2 - 1
Juventude

Martin Lucero (21' pen.), Pikachu (45+3')
Pikachu (55'), Sasha (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ewerton (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Juventude

All competitions
Last Game: Juventude 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawJuventude
61.11% (0.736 0.74)22.24% (-0.347 -0.35)16.65% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.03% (0.266 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (0.77 0.77)49.53% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (0.688 0.69)71.56% (-0.687 -0.69)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (0.514 0.51)15.74% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (0.938 0.94)44.84% (-0.937 -0.94)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)43% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.026 -0.03)79.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 61.1%
    Juventude 16.65%
    Draw 22.24%
FortalezaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.12 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.3% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.65%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Juventude

Fortaleza
61.5%
Draw
15.4%
Juventude
23.1%
13
Head to Head
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Gameweek 27
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
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Doin (45' og.)
May 29, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Fortaleza
1-1
Juventude
Yuri (32'), Henrique (58')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 12am
Gameweek 36
Fortaleza
1-0
Juventude
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Aug 22, 2021 1am
Gameweek 17
Juventude
1-1
Fortaleza
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Jesus (56')
Marcelo (16')
Felipe (57')
> Preview