Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Vargas (13', 13'), Paulinho (45+3', 45+3')
Battaglia (9'), Battaglia (9'), Hulk (44'), Hulk (44')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Moura (18', 18')
Zubeldia (16'), Zubeldia (16'), Hulk (83'), Hulk (83')
Franco (59'), Franco (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, July 8 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 7 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
35.29% ( -0.19)	26.26% ( 0.07)	38.46% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.3)

51.35% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.26)

73.17% (

0.26)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.26)

27.91% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.33)

63.54% (

0.33)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0.07)

26.08% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86% (

-0.09)

61.14% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 35.29%

Sao Paulo 38.46%

Draw 26.25%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.29%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.46%