Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.