Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Nivaldo Pereira

Vasco
4 - 1
Sao Paulo

Franco (33' og., 33' og.), Estrella de Paiva (45+3', 45+3'), Viana da Silva Gama (80', 80'), David (90+3', 90+3')
Estrella de Paiva (39'), Estrella de Paiva (39'), Maicon (77'), Maicon (77'), Rossi (88'), Rossi (88')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Silva (11', 11')
Lanza (36'), Lanza (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Vasco
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sao Paulo
25.22% ( -0.15)	25.01% ( 0)	49.77% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.14)

50.55% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.13)

72.47% (

0.12)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

-0.2)

34.7% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-0.21)

71.43% (

0.21)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67% (

20.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.29% (

52.7% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 25.22%

Sao Paulo 49.77%

Draw 25%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 7.46% 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.22%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.77%