Brasileiro | Gameweek 9

Jun 16, 2024 at 8pm UK

Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 2
Sao Paulo

Coronado (31'), Silva (45+2')
Oliveira (22'), Luciano (42'), Caetano (69'), Bidon (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Moura (4'), Caca (41' og.)
Navarro Moraes (4'), Diego (21'), Miguel (44'), Moura (83'), Franco (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico GO 2-2 Corinthians
Tuesday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 14 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
38.54% ( 0.88)	27.7% ( 1.03)	33.75% ( -1.92)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

-3.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

-4.25)

57.28% (

4.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

-3.5)

78.12% (

3.5)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.16% (

-1.52)

28.84% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.3% (

-1.93)

64.7% (

1.93)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-3.33)

31.83% (

3.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-4)

68.27% (

Score Analysis

Corinthians 38.54%

Sao Paulo 33.75%

Draw 27.69%

Corinthians	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 1.31) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 1.4) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.52) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.48) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.75%