Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for America de Natal had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for an America de Natal win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	America de Natal
64.59% ( -0)	20.71%	14.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.4% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29% (

46.71% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.02% (

68.98% (

-0)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

-0)

13.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

-0)

40.96%

America de Natal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.09% (

0.01)

43.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.95% (

0.01)

80.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 64.59%

America de Natal 14.7%

Draw 20.71%

Corinthians	Draw	America de Natal
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.67% Total : 64.59%	1-1 @ 9.85% 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.71%	0-1 @ 4.96% 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.7%