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Yuri Alberto
42'
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Yuri Alberto
42'
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Rodrigo Garro
86'
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Rodrigo Garro
86'
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Caca
90'+1'
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Caca
90'+1'
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Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira
45'
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Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira
45'
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Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira
52'
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Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira
52'
Corinthians vs America de Natal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for America de Natal had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for an America de Natal win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Corinthians Goals
America de Natal Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.48%
4-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 64.59%
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.7%