Corinthians2 - 1America FC
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 26 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil
We said: Corinthians 2-0 America de Natal
Despite America FC pushing Corinthians all the way in the first leg of the game, the hosts have not lost any of their last six home games heading into this one, and we expect them to continue that streak with a victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 64.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for America de Natal had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for an America de Natal win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | America de Natal |
64.59% ( -0) | 20.71% | 14.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
