Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Nacional
0 - 2
Corinthians

Meza (28'), Nunez (46'), Caceres (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alberto (75'), Matheuzinho (90+6')
Gassova (57')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Nacional and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Racing
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Corinthians

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 5 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Club Nacional	Draw	Corinthians
20.85% ( -0)	26.47% ( -0)	52.69% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.16% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

59.71% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.98% (

80.02% (

-0)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.93% (

-0)

44.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.82%

80.18% (

-0)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

22.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

56.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Club Nacional 20.85%

Corinthians 52.68%

Draw 26.46%

Club Nacional	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.01% 3-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.85%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 14.86% 0-2 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-3 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.68%