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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Corinthians

Nacional
0 - 2
Corinthians


Meza (28'), Nunez (46'), Caceres (62')
Caballero (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (75'), Matheuzinho (90+6')
Gassova (57')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Nacional and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Racing
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Club NacionalDrawCorinthians
20.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 52.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.16% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.82%80.18% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 20.85%
    Corinthians 52.68%
    Draw 26.46%
Club NacionalDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.01%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 14.86%
0-2 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-3 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.68%

How you voted: Nacional vs Corinthians

Club Nacional
0.0%
Draw
40.0%
Corinthians
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Corinthians
4-0
Nacional
Romero (22', 73'), Alberto (64'), Raul (89')
Fagner (45'), Paulinho (85')

Caballero (46'), Meza (50')
Arevalo (60')
rhs 2.0
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