Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Bahia

Sao Paulo
3 - 1
Bahia

Calleri (30'), Ferreira (32'), Luciano (65')
Ferreira (34'), Cuberas (34'), Luciano (65'), Alisson (86'), Gustavo (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gilberto (49')
Kanu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Criciuma
Friday, June 28 at 12am in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawBahia
58.19% (-0.144 -0.14)23.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.58% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.148 0.15)50.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52% (0.131 0.13)72.48% (-0.134 -0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.3% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (0.243 0.24)41.26% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21% (0.214 0.21)77.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 58.19%
    Bahia 18.58%
    Draw 23.22%
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 58.19%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Bahia

Sao Paulo
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Bahia
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 36
Bahia
0-1
Sao Paulo

Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Jul 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sao Paulo
0-0
Bahia
Bahia (18'), Gilberto (25'), Xavier (31'), Ratao (76')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
1-0
Sao Paulo
Rossi (77')
de Lucca (69')

Rigoni (43'), Liziero (57')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
1-0
Bahia
Liziero (90+1')

Jonas (73')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 23
Bahia
1-3
Sao Paulo
Clayson (81')
Luciano (52', 74'), Arboleda (66')
Sara (47'), Alves (48')