Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Bahia
Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • Thaciano 45'+9' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 78' goal
  • Gabriel Teixeira 90'+1' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 90'+6' goal
  • goal Gabriel Veron 14'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Veron 48'
  • redcard Marlon 70'
  • yellowcard Ramiro 90'

Bahia vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jun 21, 2024 12.00am
Flamengo 2 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result

Bahia 48.03% ▲ (+0.27)
Draw 27.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Cruzeiro 24.63% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.87% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 79.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 8.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 91.63% ▼ (-0.09)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 75.07% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 0.5 24.93% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 1.5 40.44% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 59.56% ▼ (-0.30)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 59.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.86% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Bahia 48.03%
Draw 27.32%
Cruzeiro 24.63%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 48.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.32%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.16% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.63%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
Oct 26, 2023 12.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Kanu 19' goal
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 27' yellowcard
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Marlon 53' goal
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Machado 75' yellowcard
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • Bruno Rodrigues 88' goal
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 63'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Bahia
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro
  • Kayky 18' goal
  • Arthur Sales 66' goal
  • goal Bruno Rodrigues 30'
  • goal Wesley 45'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
Nov 3, 2019 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
Bahia
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 45' yellowcard
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 64' redcard
  • Fred 73' yellowcard
  • Sassa 74' goal
  • Henrique 82' yellowcard
  • goal Fernandao 66'
Brasileiro
Bahia
Jul 20, 2019 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cruzeiro
  • Arthur 35' yellowcard
  • Arthur 42' redcard
  • Ezequiel 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caca 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Bahia
Dec 2, 2018 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cruzeiro
  • Elton 45' yellowcard
  • Flavio 70' yellowcard
  • Douglas Grolli 83' yellowcard
  • Luiz Henrique 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manoel 28'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Cruzeiro
Aug 19, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
Bahia
  • Robinho 34' yellowcard
  • Henrique 50' yellowcard
  • Thiago Neves 64' goal
  • yellowcard Gregore 21'
  • goal Douglas Grolli 60'
  • yellowcard Elton 73'

Form Data

Flamengo 2 - 1 Bahia
Criciuma 2 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 0 Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Criciuma 0 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 0 Bragantino
Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Fluminense
Vasco 0 - 0 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Cuiaba
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 U. Catolica
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Union La Calera