Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Cruzeiro

Bahia
4 - 1
Cruzeiro

Thaciano (45+9'), Estupinan (78', 90+6'), Teixeira (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (14')
Silva (45+2'), Veron (48'), Ramiro (90')
Marlon (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bahia
Friday, June 21 at 12am in Brasileiro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-0 Fluminense
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
48.03% (0.265 0.27)27.34% (-0.09 -0.09)24.63% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (0.192 0.19)59.61% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (0.148 0.15)79.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (0.214 0.21)24.93% (-0.215 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (0.29499999999999 0.29)59.56% (-0.295 -0.3)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.77% (-0.052 -0.05)40.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.14% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)76.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.03%
    Cruzeiro 24.63%
    Draw 27.32%
BahiaDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 13.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Bahia vs Cruzeiro

Bahia
60.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruzeiro
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 12am
Gameweek 29
Cruzeiro
3-0
Bahia
Kanu (19' og.), Marlon (53'), Rodrigues (88')
Silva (27'), Machado (75')

Candido (63'), Oliveira Souza (90')
Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bahia
2-2
Cruzeiro
Kayky (18'), Sales (66')
Kayky (19'), Rezende (27'), Carlos (51'), Kanu (68'), Fernandes (90+7')
Rodrigues (30'), Wesley (45+1')
Wallisson (64')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2019 10pm
Gameweek 30
Cruzeiro
1-1
Bahia
Sassa (74')
Manuel Orejuela (45'), Fred (73'), Henrique (82')
Manuel Orejuela (64')
Fernandao (66' pen.)
Jul 20, 2019 9pm
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Arthur (35'), Ezequiel (56')
Arthur (42')
Caca (80')
Dec 2, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 38
Bahia
0-0
Cruzeiro
Elton (45'), Flavio (70'), Grolli (83'), Henrique (85')
Manoel (28')