Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 21, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia

Flamengo
2 - 1
Bahia

Gerson (23', 23'), Luiz (90+4', 90+4')
Ortiz (34'), Ortiz (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stum (35', 35')
Lucas (69'), Lucas (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Bahia
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
64.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)20.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)14.83% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)67.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)79.23% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 64.69%
    Bahia 14.83%
    Draw 20.47%
FlamengoDrawBahia
2-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.83%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Bahia

Flamengo
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Bahia
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Flamengo
1-0
Bahia
Pedro (61' pen.)
Maia (24')

Yago (60'), Rezende (61')
Kanu (49')
May 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-3
Flamengo
Teixeira (35'), Ademir (51')
Hugo (26'), Rezende (39'), Duarte (47'), Ademir (55'), Yago (60'), Kanu (74')
Rezende (74'), Kanu (77')
Franca (23'), Barbosa (29' pen.), Luiz (45+4')
Vidal (51'), Bruno (62'), Pereira (87'), Lucas (90+4'), De Arrascaeta (90+3')
Nov 11, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 31
Flamengo
3-0
Bahia
Barbosa (32' pen.), Michael (58'), Pereira (89')
Diego (63')

Bahia (19'), Conti (30')
Bahia (42'), Rossi (63')
> Preview
Jul 18, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 12
Bahia
0-5
Flamengo

Bahia (29'), Gilberto (54'), Capixaba (55'), Galdezani (60'), Edson (81')
Barbosa (23' pen., 41', 62'), Pedro (74'), Vitinho (84')
Diego (47')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 26
Flamengo
4-3
Bahia
Henrique (5'), Isla (33'), Pedro (82'), Vitinho (90')
Luis (71'), Natan (87')
Barbosa (10')
Pablo Ramirez (50'), Gilberto (56', 59')
Capixaba (16'), Gilberto (47'), Rodrigoinho (89')
Danielzinho (90+1')